Iran accuses US of ceasefire violation with port blockade
Iran accused the US of a ceasefire violation with a port blockade. Ceasefire breach by April 21 at 99.7% YES.
Iran accused the US of a ceasefire violation with a port blockade. Ceasefire breach by April 21 at 99.7% YES.
Trump's vague comments and Vance's absence lowered the odds for a US-Iran peace deal by April 22 to 22.5% YES.
Iran's Pezeshkian defends nuclear rights against US demands. Trump's agreement to Iranian oil sanction relief in April at 38% YES.
Iran-U.S. ceasefire talks are nearing completion but need an extension. Ceasefire by April 30 at 33.5% YES.
Iran keeps the Strait of Hormuz closed, disrupting US diplomacy. Lifting the blockade by May 31 now at 76% YES.
Trump convened a Situation Room meeting as Iran closed the Strait of Hormuz. Diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30 at 12% YES.
A Hezbollah booby trap killed an IDF reservist amid ceasefire tensions. Ceasefire by April 30 at 100% YES.
US returns 23 vessels to Iran amid blockade. Strait of Hormuz traffic normalization by June at 0% YES.
Strait of Hormuz ship traffic drops amid security concerns. Fewer than 10 ships transiting the strait between April 13-19 at 0.4% YES.
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Iran confronts the US over a minesweeper in the Strait of Hormuz. No qualifying diplomatic meeting by June 30 at 6.7% YES.
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Khamenei's navy readiness statement suggests military strength, pushing the odds of the Iranian regime falling by April 30 down to 1.4% YES.
Two U.S. Navy destroyers transited the Strait of Hormuz amid Iranian threats, but U.S. escorts through Hormuz by April 30 dropped to 18.5% YES.
Israel's airstrikes on over 100 sites in Lebanon complicate ceasefire prospects with Hezbollah, with the April 30 ceasefire at 93.7% YES.
Pakistan seeks to host US-Iran talks to extend the ceasefire. Ceasefire extension by April 21 at 83.5% YES.
Bulgaria will hold a snap election on April 19 after the government collapse. Radev's odds to be Prime Minister at 91.3% YES.
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Iran bans military vessels from the Strait of Hormuz. UK warships transit by April 30 at 5.5% YES.